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Erdogan's Libya Pact Squeezes Greece, Cyprus, Israel

Asaf Nissan

By: Ben Gavish

Editor: Asaf Nissan

11 Marcheshvan 5787 (22.10.26)

The Libyan House of Representatives has formally ratified a contested maritime demarcation agreement with Turkey, establishing a unilateral maritime corridor spanning from the Turkish coast to Libya's shores while completely disregarding major Greek islands, including Crete and Rhodes. Condemned by European Union leadership and Athens as a flagrant breach of the international Law of the Sea, the pact is viewed by regional strategists as Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's bid to establish naval hegemony, sever maritime access between Greece and Cyprus, and challenge the historic 10 billion shekel defense export agreement recently signed between Israel and Greece.


Seven years after signing their initial contentious memorandum of understanding, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has deepened maritime coordination with Libya, as the Libyan House of Representatives formally ratified Turkey’s proposal to demarcate the maritime boundary in the Mediterranean Sea. While Ankara frames the pact as an energy security initiative to address resource shortages, regional analysts view the move as an aggressive geopolitical maneuver to assert Turkish maritime dominance across critical international shipping lanes.

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Direct path via Greece | Photo: Shutterstock

The agreement establishes a unilateral maritime corridor linking the southern Turkish coastline directly with the shores of Libya, granting both parties asserted exclusive rights to explore, drill, and extract natural gas and oil, as well as construct undersea energy and pipeline infrastructure. Crucially, the boundaries established under the accord run directly through waters surrounding major Greek islands—including Crete, Rhodes, and Karpathos—completely ignoring their geographic existence and sovereign maritime rights. European defense officials assess that Erdogan’s initiative represents a calculated attempt to trap regional rivals Greece and Cyprus. By driving a geopolitical wedge across the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean, the corridor is engineered to sever unimpeded access between Athens and Nicosia, obstructing Greece’s commercial access to the Suez Canal while isolating Cyprus from the wider European continent and the Strait of Gibraltar.

The development carries direct implications for Israel’s strategic posture in the region. The mapped corridor cuts across the maritime axis connecting Israel, Cyprus, and Greece, coming shortly after Jerusalem and Athens signed a historic 10 billion shekel defense procurement agreement. The deal represents the largest defense export transaction in Israeli-Greek bilateral history and one of the largest single defense contracts ever executed by Israel’s Defense Ministry. This development triggered sharp disapproval in Ankara.

עסקת הענק של ישראל ויוון
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Defense Ministry Director General Eyal Zamir / Amir Baram at signing ceremony with Greek military procurement director | Photo: Defense Ministry Spokesperson and Public Relations Division

Is This Legal?

The international community moved swiftly to reject the accord’s validity. In a joint declaration, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and European Council President Antonio Costa stated that the European Union deplores the ratification of the agreement, affirming that it infringes upon the sovereign rights of third countries, violates the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), and holds no legal standing. The EU leadership underscored its unconditional solidarity with member states Greece and Cyprus.

The Greek Foreign Ministry issued a firm rebuke, noting that Turkey and Libya possess neither opposite nor adjacent coastlines that would permit a lawful bilateral maritime delimitation under international jurisprudence. Athens called on Libyan authorities to refrain from destabilizing unilateral moves, warning that Greece will deploy all necessary diplomatic and legal measures to safeguard its sovereign rights. Conversely, the spokesperson for Turkey’s ruling party lauded the ratification, claiming the vote substantiates the historical and legal legitimacy of Ankara’s “Blue Homeland” maritime doctrine while dismissing European rebukes as unenforceable rhetoric detached from realities established at sea.