Presenting fresh election polling data on Channel 14 on Monday evening, pollster and political strategist Shlomo Filber warned that Yisrael Beytenu Chairman Avigdor Lieberman is drifting perilously close to the mandatory 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset elections.
1+Filber noted that the tightening margins have placed Lieberman’s faction in an acute operational squeeze, prompting the veteran party leader to dramatically ramp up campaign activity across the country to halt voter leakage. “Lieberman is getting very close to the electoral threshold,” Filber explained during the live broadcast. “He’s now starting to campaign very vigorously, trying to maintain his support and not lose it to all parties—including to Winter, as was mentioned here earlier—and also among his traditional base.”
According to Filber’s analysis, Lieberman is encountering simultaneous electoral pressure on multiple fronts. On the hawkish right, disillusioned voters seeking a security-first alternative are gravitating toward the political list led by former IDF Brigadier General Ofer Winter. At the same time, Lieberman faces persistent erosion within his foundational Russian-speaking constituency, alongside competing tug-of-war efforts from other opposition factions vying for secular and protest ballots.
1+The findings explain the sharp, aggressive pivot in Yisrael Beytenu’s field strategy over recent days. Facing the tangible risk of falling below the threshold, Lieberman has intensified direct appeals to his traditional voter base, warning that defecting to nascent, sub-threshold factions endangers right-wing representation and risks squandering vital Zionist mandates.
With coalition math tightly balanced across all published models, Yisrael Beytenu’s ability to retain enough voters and stay above the 3.25% cutoff remains one of the most decisive variables heading into the final stretch of the election campaign.